Skip to content
Bitcoin · W4 Gold · W5 EUR/USD · W5 S&P 500 · W3 Nasdaq 100 · W1 Ethereum · W5 Crude Oil · W5 USD/JPY · W5 Nvidia · W1
Smart Wave Analysis
BTC W4 Bullish XAUUSD W5 Bullish EURUSD W5 Bullish SPX W3 Bearish NDX W1 Bearish NVDA W1 Bearish ETH W5 Bearish WTI W5 Bearish GBPUSD W5 Bullish XAGUSD W5 Bullish
Sign up for Trial Plan

Microsoft (MSFT) Elliott Wave Analysis

Automatic wave scan: as of 6 Nov 2026, the automatic daily count for Microsoft is Wave 5 up with a bullish bias. The count stays valid while price holds 504.96.

NASDAQ:MSFTLIVE
Smart Wave Analysis

Current Microsoft wave count

Automatic wave scan Updated daily from the latest daily close (4 Nov 2026). Computer generated from swing highs and lows, not reviewed by an analyst.

Last close555.80 +6.68%
Current waveWave 5 up
BiasBullish
Targets567.80 / 612.34
Invalidation504.96
TimeframeDaily

Automatic scan: price is in wave 5, the final leg of a five wave advance that began at 377.39 on 23 Jul 2026. Next levels to watch are 567.80 and 612.34. The count fails on a daily close below 504.96.

Key levels

TypeLevels
Support504.96 · 551.15
Invalidation504.96

What is Microsoft?

Microsoft was founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen and is based in Redmond, Washington. Its products include Windows, Office, Azure, LinkedIn and Xbox.

Microsoft is a major investor in OpenAI and has built AI tools into many of its products. Cloud revenue from Azure is closely watched each quarter.

What moves the Microsoft price?

  • Azure cloud growth: The growth rate of Azure is the key number each quarter.
  • AI demand: Spending on AI services and data centers shapes the outlook.
  • Business software: Office and enterprise subscriptions provide steady income.
  • Capital spending: Large data center budgets affect margins.
  • Interest rates: Like other growth stocks, MSFT is sensitive to bond yields.

How Microsoft moves in Elliott Wave terms

Microsoft has shown smooth, persistent uptrends with relatively shallow corrections for a large tech stock. Wave 4 corrections often form triangles or flats.

MSFT tends to trend more steadily than Nvidia or Tesla, which makes its wave structure easier to read.

Tips for counting Microsoft waves

Watch Azure growth in each earnings report. Quarterly earnings reports often start or end a wave. Price gaps after results can skip over levels, so place stops with gaps in mind.

Microsoft key facts

TickerMSFT
ExchangeNasdaq
Founded1975
HeadquartersRedmond, Washington
SectorTechnology
Index membershipS&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones
Regular session9:30 to 16:00 New York time

Microsoft Elliott Wave FAQ

What drives Microsoft stock?

Growth in Azure cloud services, AI demand and steady income from business software.

Who founded Microsoft?

Bill Gates and Paul Allen in 1975.

Is Microsoft in the Dow Jones?

Yes. Microsoft joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1999.

Sources and further reading

Educational content only. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Trading involves risk and you can lose money. Elliott Wave counts are probabilities, not certainties. Read our full disclaimer and affiliate disclosure.